sexta-feira, 27 de junho de 2008

FX Trading Strategy - the Application of Mathematics to Reveal the Theory of Market Movement

Today, traders all around the world are using complex computer programs and mathematical equations to work out the scientific theory of market movement. What are the results and how can they benefit your FX trading strategy?

Let's start with a fact:

Today 95% of traders lose their money and it's the same ratio as 50 or 100 years ago and this is despite all the so called advances in computers, forecasting and number crunching applied and this leads to an obvious conclusion.

Forex markets don't move the certainties i.e. mathematics, they only move based upon odds and you can try as hard as you like to apply science and maths - but if prices move to the odds this is futile. It's obvious:

If markets moved to a mathematical theory, we would all know the price in advance and there would be no market! Common sense - but traders love complexity, it makes them feel safe and they think it cuts risk. They may love it but it won't help them.

Today there is a huge industry in robots and automation is the buzz word and you see extra ordinary profits in hindsight and simulations - but they never work in real time, because no two pieces of data are ever the same and you really are chasing your tail if you try it.

Just as in yester year, simple forex trading systems work best, as they are more robust with fewer elements to break. A simple odds based system should be the basis of your FX Trading strategy. Don't be deceived a simple odds based system can make a lot of money.

The problem today is we are used to science and maths solving problems in life and making our life easier, more comfortable and it does - but that doesn't mean it works in all areas of life and the forex market is one, where it doesn't. You need to keep it simple, have confidence in what your doing and if you do, you can enjoy currency trading success.

So stop trying to beat the market and see it for what it is, a high stakes, high odds game and get the right forex education. If you keep it simple and trade the odds, you can make a lot of money with your FX trading strategy and that's a fact.

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